Brett Favre 2008
Jan/090
Brett Favre
22 TDs. 22 INTs. 1 loss to the Seahawks. 3472 yards (lowest since 1993).1 rushing TD. -2.2 DVOA. 1 Pro Bowl.
ON THE OTHER HAND….
Aaron Rodgers
28 TDs. 13 INTs. 0 loss to the Seahawks. 4038 yards. 4 rushing TDs. 14.8% DVOA. 0 Pro Bowl.
(DVOA is a stat created by Football Outsiders to determine the Defense Adjusted Value Over Average thus making Brett Favre BELOW average. Sample QBs ranking higher: Kyle Orton, Tavaris Jackson, Seneca Wallace, Sage Rosenfels, etc)
IN OTHER WORDS….
RETIRE
Green Bay Packers
Dec/080
Call me a dreamer, call me an idiot, call me an optimist, but I think the Packers have a pretty good shot to make the playoffs. Of course, a few weeks ago I laid out a plan for the Seahawks to make the playoffs and they now sit at 2-10, but hear me out here.
NFC North Standings (Head to head with Green Bay)
Minnesota 7-5 (1-1)
Chicago 6-6 (0-1)
Green Bay 5-7
Vikings upcoming schedule: @Detroit, @Arizona, Atlanta, New York Giants
Bears upcoming schedule: Jacksonville, New Orleans, Green Bay, @Houston
Packers upcoming schedule: Houston, @Jacksonville, @Chicago, Detroit
Now the Packers need to win out and have both teams above them lose, but the NFL just suspended half of the Vikings defensive line for the rest of the season and with Gus Frerotte at QB their in a bit of trouble. The Bears clearly have the best shot, but well, their the Bears and I don’t think neckbeard has it in him to go 3-1 or 4-0 to make the playoffs. If the Packers win out and tie the Vikings or the Bears at 9-7 they win the tiebreaker because they would be 5-1 in the division. The Packers have been the best team in this division all year long, but their overrated secondary has just given away some key games and they lost a couple of coinflips. It’s not a crazy thought.
I really just want this to happen because looking at “if the playoffs ended today” I don’t think I would be interested in a single team. Baltimore? Carolina? Yikes.
NFL roundup
Nov/080
There’s a Monday night game tonight where I need Marshawn Lynch to go off for about 33 points to save my fantasy season, but as far as I’m concerned this week is in the bag.
- At least I still have the Sonics: The Seahawks lost to the Cardinals 26-20, officially ending their playoff pipe dreams, in a game that they had a good chance to win. Matt returned and threw 3 INTs. I didn’t watch the game which at 2-8 is preferable. I’m starting to think Kurt Warner is going to be the MVP. This really depresses me for some reason.
- It’s gonna be over, before you know it’s begun: The Eagles tied the Bengals. Normally, two teams being so awful as to tie is news in itself but this is made even better since Donovan McNabb didn’t even know it was possible! I wonder if Andy Reid knew a tie was possible. I really doubt that he did. (Did you know that Ryan Fitzpatrick has a gay brother? It’s true his name is Michael Fitzpatrick and his boyfriend’s name is Patrick Fitzmichael. Hey-yo!)
- Tim Donaghy now working for the NFL: Are we living in the days of the worst officiating of all time? I can’t even watch baseball anymore without ending up disgusted at how bad the umpiring is. The NBA’s referees are, we’ll be nice and just say, the worst. Now, it’s not even safe to bet on the NFL? What’s next, horseracing?
- Actor slams Packers: I didn’t see it, but apparently the star of Failure to Launch went off on Packers management during the Fox pre-game show. He made some outrageous claim that the Packers would be 8-1 if they had kept Brett Favre. Completely ignoring the fact that Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been directly responsible for any of the losses, let’s compare the two:
Aaron Rodgers: 15/6/94.5
Brett Favre: 18/12/93.0Obviously 3 more TD passes and 6 more INTs would have the Pack right back on top.
- I ended up going 1-1 on betting this weekend. I took the Seahawks and the Packers. I always do this thing where I convince myself that a game is a “must win” for the team so it’s a good idea to bet on it. Yesterday was a “must win” game for the Seahawks and it really wasn’t a good game to bet on. Sure, they could have won. Sure, they should have beat the spread. But it wasn’t thinking with my head, it was thinking with my made up belief system of “must win games” being “must bet games”. Just stay away Vince, just stay away.
As per usual NFL.com is having a sale tonight. 20% OFF your entire order.
This weekend in the NFL
Nov/080
I made my return to gambling on the NFL this weekend since my fantasy team needs multiple miracles to make the playoffs and the Seahawks need to sign an early 80s Steve Largent, 2000 Shaun Alexander and one of Chuck Knox’s defenses to even have a shot at the wildcard. So, I decided to try gambling on the NFL to spark my interest. A lot of the games I liked, but didn’t have what it took to bet them. However, there were only two “locks” in my opinion. Green Bay and Kansas City, both of whom won. Of course, I can’t just bet two games and be happy. I had to do a couple three team parlays (both of which I was 2/3), a teaser (Rams, what was I thinking?) and then made a bet on the Cardinals on Monday. As well as a parlay of the Cardinals and the over (I was half right). At the end of it I ended up being up about $6 dollars (which is actually thanks to Scotsman’s Grizzlies pick at NBAtips.net). That’s the great thing about gambling. I was like 80% right about my bets, but I ended up with a very small profit because of my greed. If I had stuck the course, not done any parlays and bet more games I’d have been like 5-2.
The Packers won ATS, but lost the game overall. There is no way they should have though because the first safety was a complete joke. In fact, it looks the referee made his own rules instead of, you know, following the rule book. At some point we need to make these things reviewable. Intentional grounding, pass interference and everything else. If it does or could lead to a score, it needs to be reviewable.
In other news, MATT HASSELBECK should return this weekend. He is the miracle that my fantasy team needs! I was looking at stats today and I noticed that Seneca Wallace has only thrown one interception. He hasn’t been the greatest QB by any stretch of the imagination, but he hasn’t given the ball away either. Which is more than Matt could say in his first season as a starter. I still remember the chants of “Dilfer! Dilfer!” at Husky Stadium pissing me off to no end. I mean, sure we might have won THAT game with Dilfer in there but there’s no way that Super Bowl would have happened with Dilfer in there. I guess I’m just a big picture guy. Anyways, I’m glad to have my favorite QB back. Even if we do suck.
Finally, I got an email from NFL.com and they are running a 25% off special (yesterday) today and tomorrow. It’s a pretty good deal and if you’re team doesn’t suck, you might want to pick up some stuff now. Replica jerseys for $60 is a pretty good deal and I think these sweatshirts are the coolest thing I’ve ever seen. Enter the code NFL25 at checkout to receive the discount.
Brett Favre, stand up guy
Oct/081
Last season was all about Favre working with his young receivers and loving it. This season is all about trying to sabotage those same guys. What a guy.
Fox Sports is reporting that Favre phoned the Detroit Lions prior to their Sept. 14 game with the Packers (Favre was traded to the Jets on Aug. 17), and gave them complete details of Green Bays’ offense. Fox is saying that Favre spent more than an hour on the phone with Lions coaches, trying to prepare them for the game. Fox is also saying that there are rumors that Favre has talked to other teams about the Packers. This of course is just fine with his former teammates.
Maybe he should spend less time on the phone and more time learning the playbook. It’s not like his phone calls are helping anyone win, except maybe the Packers.